Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Oklahoma
Yellow Warbler in Oklahoma has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-63%Since 1969
33Routes In State
50Years
Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Oklahoma
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow Warbler has fallen sharply in Oklahoma: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-54%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±50.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Sickles | 3 | 1994 | 1993 |
| Duncan | 3 | 1995 | 1994 |
| Phroso | 2 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Canadian | 2 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Collinsville | 2 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Felt | 2 | 2021 | 1987 |
| Jet | 2 | 2021 | 2004 |
| Big Cedar | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Phillips | 1 | 1985 | 1977 |
| Mill Creek | 1 | 2010 | 1973 |
| Ardmore | 1 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Ft Sill East | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Baron | 1 | 2005 | 1968 |
| Indianola | 1 | 2003 | 1974 |
| Holdenville | 1 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Beggs | 1 | 1984 | 1967 |
| Choctaw | 1 | 1980 | 1969 |
| Noble | 1 | 1974 | 1968 |
| Eagle City | 1 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Grimes | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Peoria | 1 | 1999 | 1969 |
| Welch | 1 | 1984 | 1968 |
| Bartlesville | 1 | 2011 | 2004 |
| Douglas | 1 | 2013 | 2004 |
| Bethel | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.