Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in New Mexico
Yellow Warbler in New Mexico has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-8%Since 1970
34Routes In State
56Years
Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in New Mexico
No notable trend signals for Yellow Warbler in New Mexico. See the full index history below.
Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in New Mexico is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 0.70 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.60 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
0.60Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±30.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Red Rock | 15 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Ojo Sarco | 10 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Cebolla | 6 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Capulin | 5 | 1993 | 1993 |
| La Plata 2 | 5 | 2016 | 2014 |
| Reserve | 5 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Gallinas | 4 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Cooley Lake | 3 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Angel Fire 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Angel Fire | 3 | 2002 | 1992 |
| La Plata | 3 | 2013 | 1990 |
| Farmington | 2 | 1983 | 1975 |
| Laborcita 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Mcgaffey | 2 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Vallecitos | 2 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Escondida | 2 | 2023 | 2017 |
| Farley | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Pecos | 1 | 2017 | 2003 |
| Tucumcari | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Fence Lake | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Valencia | 1 | 1979 | 1971 |
| Gage | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Dulce | 1 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Maxwell | 1 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Sedan | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.