Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Massachusetts
Yellow Warbler in Massachusetts has surged: up 108% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+108%Since 1968
32Routes In State
58Years
Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Massachusetts
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow Warbler has surged in Massachusetts: up 108% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 7.1–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
7.1–1395% range
±16.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 13 |
| 2026 | 10.0 | 6.9 | 13 |
| 2027 | 10 | 7.0 | 13 |
| 2028 | 10 | 7.0 | 13 |
| 2029 | 10 | 7.1 | 13 |
Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| Chesterfield | 33 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Prattville | 32 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Marion | 31 | 2024 | 1966 |
| S Barre | 19 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Wellfleet 2 | 17 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Brockton | 14 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Belchertown | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Monterey | 14 | 2024 | 2019 |
| N Orange | 13 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Cheshire | 13 | 1994 | 1969 |
| Gay Head | 13 | 2024 | 1996 |
| N. Andover | 11 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Warren 2 | 10 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Wellfleet | 9 | 2007 | 1966 |
| E Pepperell | 9 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Sheffield | 8 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Holden | 7 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Hancock | 7 | 2015 | 1998 |
| E Dennis | 6 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Cummington 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Newburyport | 5 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Mansfield | 5 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Princeton | 5 | 1976 | 1969 |
| Warren | 5 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Cummington | 4 | 2013 | 1968 |
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.