BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesForest birds

Yellow Warbler in Kentucky has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-82%Since 1968
56Routes In State
58Years

Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Kentucky

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow Warbler has collapsed in Kentucky: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Kentucky is projected to fall about 52% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-52%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±41.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.340.001.8
20260.310.001.8
20270.280.001.7
20280.250.001.7
20290.220.001.7

Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Yellow Warbler in Kentucky.
Staffordsvil3619971996
Paintsville1819951979
Gesling1619731969
Pine Ridge1519781966
Campton920211979
Carter520241976
Phelps519971979
Pippa Passes319971988
Kehoe319921967
Levee 2320192007
Lebanon Junction320072000
Shiloh220091995
Pleasurevill220241981
Mckee220241967
Johnsonville220181967
Kehoe 2220242005
Demunbruns219951966
Drakesboro219851976
Buena Vista220161966
East Union220181966
Cumberlnd Gp120181966
Lovelacevile119901973
Canton120061970
Keysburg120101970
Cedar Grove119871984

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.