BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Yellow Warbler in Virginia has collapsed: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-75%Since 1968
63Routes In State
58Years

Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Virginia

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow Warbler has collapsed in Virginia: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Virginia is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.73). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7395% range
±80.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.73
20260.000.000.73
20270.000.000.73
20280.000.000.73
20290.000.000.73

Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Yellow Warbler in Virginia.
Marion1019821976
Walkers1020092005
Newville720051990
Ivanhoe619681968
Rural Retrt620241982
Isom420241969
Blacksburg420241988
Taylorstown320071969
Quinby319941993
Clinchport319751967
Irisburg320121976
Iron Mountain 3320232014
Colonial Pky319981996
Stanley220151966
Tryme220221975
Partlow219811981
Covington219931966
Newbern219821968
Big Island220021969
Covesville220121967
Hall220121967
Brandon220062006
White Stone220221980
Hebron220221981
Chincoteag W220131992

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.