Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Missouri
Yellow Warbler in Missouri has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-69%Since 1969
57Routes In State
56Years
Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Missouri
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow Warbler has fallen sharply in Missouri: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Missouri is projected to rise about 137% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+137%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3995% range
±58.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2026 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2027 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2028 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| 2029 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Missouri
| Norborne | 4 | 2021 | 2007 |
| Syracuse | 3 | 2016 | 1969 |
| Stet | 3 | 1995 | 1973 |
| Crane | 3 | 2009 | 1998 |
| New Point | 3 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Bolckow | 2 | 1984 | 1968 |
| Williamsvill | 2 | 2010 | 2003 |
| Bennett | 2 | 2022 | 2019 |
| Elmo | 2 | 2021 | 2017 |
| Centerville | 2 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Osage Beach | 2 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Lincoln | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Deventer | 1 | 2009 | 1969 |
| Pulaski | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Peace Valley | 1 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Sweden | 1 | 2019 | 1985 |
| Pineville | 1 | 1986 | 1980 |
| Cp Girardeau | 1 | 2019 | 1969 |
| Cascade | 1 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Cameron | 1 | 2006 | 1996 |
| Akers | 1 | 1971 | 1967 |
| Wesco | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Clementine | 1 | 1996 | 1986 |
| Kahoka2 | 1 | 2019 | 2018 |
| Graydon | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.