BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Yellow Warbler in Minnesota has risen sharply: up 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+71%Since 1969
90Routes In State
57Years

Notable Yellow Warbler Trends in Minnesota

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow Warbler has risen sharply in Minnesota: up 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Yellow Warbler Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 9.1 (95% range 7.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2029
9.1Projected 2029 index
7.2–1195% range
±13.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.86.911
20268.87.011
20278.97.011
20289.07.111
20299.17.211

Yellow Warbler Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Yellow Warbler in Minnesota.
Ashby5020211997
Wigwam Bay4420231967
Sherburne Nr3320241990
Beltrami2620241967
Knapp2520241967
Brainerd2520241993
Edwards2420241973
Caledonia 22220242013
Brook Park2120241998
Glyndon2020241978
Waskish2020241978
Lude1920231978
Oklee1820211969
Tracy1820242004
Glenwood1820191993
Mille Lacs1620241967
Backus1620241967
Greenbush1620241993
Evergreen1520241967
Debs1520241969
New London1420241994
Mahtowa1420231993
Pine River1220241967
Wylie1220241970
Princeton1120241969

Yellow Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.