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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Warbler in Oklahoma has surged: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+329%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Warbler Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Oklahoma: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.39 (95% range 0.23–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.39Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.23–0.5595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.39 (95% range 0.23–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.370.200.53
20260.370.210.53
20270.380.210.54
20280.380.220.55
20290.390.230.55

Yellow-throated Warbler Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Yellow-throated Warbler in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Goodwater520212001
Bethel420241994
Blanco320161967
Mt. Herman320222002
Hee Mountain320241999
Baron220121978
Colcord220221993
Big Cedar120241967
Mcalester119911991
Ouachita Nf120241993
Pushmataha120221994
Canadian119921982
Holdenville120221974
Noble120242019
Sandbluff119941992
Welch119841984
Bartlesville120102010
Heyburn120242008

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniadelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganmississippimissourinew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.