Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Arkansas
Yellow-throated Warbler in Arkansas has surged: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+162%Since 1969
45Routes In State
57Years
Notable Yellow-throated Warbler Trends in Arkansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Arkansas: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Arkansas is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.49–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+35%Change by 2029
0.97Projected 2029 index
0.49–1.495% range
±24.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.92 | 0.44 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.93 | 0.45 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.97 | 0.49 | 1.4 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Poyen | 5 | 2007 | 1970 |
| Avoca | 5 | 2023 | 2022 |
| Princeton | 5 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Old Milo | 4 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Massard | 4 | 2014 | 2003 |
| Locust Bayou | 3 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Hatfield 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Rupert | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Compton | 3 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Stephens | 3 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Four Lakes | 3 | 2001 | 1995 |
| Hope | 2 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Hughes | 2 | 2023 | 1983 |
| South Bend | 2 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Hollywood | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Coal Hill | 2 | 2023 | 1981 |
| Sims | 2 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Springhill | 2 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Boston Mtn. | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | 2 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Nance | 2 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Poyen 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Ramsey | 1 | 1994 | 1967 |
| Stamps | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Ashdown | 1 | 2006 | 1969 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.