Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Virginia
Yellow-throated Warbler in Virginia has surged: up 385% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+385%Since 1968
50Routes In State
58Years
Notable Yellow-throated Warbler Trends in Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Virginia: up 385% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Virginia is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.64–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-45%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.64–1.895% range
±34.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.56 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.58 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.60 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.62 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.64 | 1.8 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Survey Routes in Virginia
| Brandon | 21 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Isom | 15 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Branchville | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Surry | 11 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Colonial Pky | 10 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Cape Charles | 9 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Pine Mtn. | 9 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Brodnax | 9 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Truhart | 9 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Newville | 9 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Quinby | 7 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Walkers | 7 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Gloucester | 5 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Mannboro | 5 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Newsoms | 4 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Port Royal | 3 | 2019 | 2009 |
| Dismal Swamp | 3 | 2016 | 1993 |
| Amherst | 3 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Stickleyvill | 3 | 1990 | 1977 |
| Cornland | 3 | 1987 | 1980 |
| Finchley | 3 | 2021 | 2013 |
| Dryden | 2 | 2005 | 1993 |
| Nat Tunnel | 2 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Ft Pickett S | 2 | 1995 | 1993 |
| Carters Brdg | 2 | 1990 | 1990 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.