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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Warbler in Georgia has increased: up 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
90Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Warbler Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-throated Warbler in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Georgia is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 0.88 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.54–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.54–1.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Georgia is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 0.88 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.54–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.10.511.6
20271.10.521.7
20281.10.531.7
20291.10.541.7
20301.10.541.7

Yellow-throated Warbler Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Yellow-throated Warbler in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Colonels Island2820232005
Pineora1220181995
Riceboro1120231995
Woodbine1020242011
Baxley920191967
Piedmont Nwr920031993
Mountain Cty820251976
Pleasant Hill720252012
Deepstep620231980
Council620252013
Dover520251981
Holly Sprs419831983
Union420242013
Harrietts Bl320251987
Stockton320251980
Lyons319941970
Nashville319881982
Big Oak320252017
Shiloh320252012
Sharon320222018
Cuthbert220111971
Wrightsville220081990
Forsyth220231977
Lincolnton220011975
Cotton220211987

Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniadelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganmississippimissourinew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.