Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Tennessee
Yellow-throated Warbler in Tennessee has surged: up 341% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+341%Since 1968
51Routes In State
58Years
Notable Yellow-throated Warbler Trends in Tennessee
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Tennessee: up 341% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Tennessee is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 3.2–5.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+43%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
3.2–5.595% range
±23.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 5.3 |
| 2026 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 5.4 |
| 2028 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| 2029 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 5.5 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Mcfarland | 16 | 1993 | 1967 |
| Elk Valley | 13 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Oliver Spgs | 13 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Big Sandy | 11 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Mecca | 11 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Collinwood | 9 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Wrigley | 8 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Silver Pt | 8 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Jasper | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Indian Mound 2 | 8 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Smokey Jct | 7 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Walland | 7 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Pond Creek | 6 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Trace Lewis | 6 | 2017 | 2013 |
| Jones Gap | 5 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Mansfield | 4 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Indian Mound | 4 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Harbuck | 4 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Tellico | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Humboldt | 3 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Willis Sprng | 3 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Trace Collinwood | 3 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Moscow | 2 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Silerton | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Trenton | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
Yellow-throated Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.