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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma has surged: up 817% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+817%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
50YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Oklahoma: up 817% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.97 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.41–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-23%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.74Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.41–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.97 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.41–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.690.361.0
20260.700.371.0
20270.710.381.0
20280.730.401.1
20290.740.411.1

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bethel1620241993
Big Cedar520241968
Mt. Herman420221999
Hee Mountain320241999
Blanco220031995
Ouachita Nf220241993
Canadian220061977
Wakita219881988
Phillips119971997
Mill Creek119991999
Baron120221977
Indianola120192017
Holdenville120221979
Noble120242001
Peoria119891989
Welch119801980
Collinsville120092002
Bartlesville120072006
Goodwater120192016
Tatums120222005
Pocola120082006
Heyburn120242002
Colcord120222002
Pushmataha120191994

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.