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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma has surged: up 803% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+803%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
51YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Oklahoma: up 803% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 34% by 2030 — from 0.56 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.41–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+34%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.74Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.41–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 34% by 2030 — from 0.56 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.41–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.690.361.0
20270.700.381.0
20280.720.391.0
20290.730.401.1
20300.740.411.1

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bethel620251993
Big Cedar520241968
Mt. Herman420221999
Ouachita Nf320251993
Hee Mountain320241999
Heyburn320252002
Blanco220031995
Phillips220251997
Canadian220061977
Wakita219881988
Mill Creek119991999
Baron120221977
Indianola120192017
Holdenville120221979
Noble120242001
Peoria119891989
Welch119801980
Collinsville120092002
Bartlesville120072006
Goodwater120192016
Matoy120252025
Tatums120222005
Pocola120082006
Colcord120222002
Pushmataha120191994

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.