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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Florida has surged: up 256% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+256%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
75Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Florida: up 256% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Florida is projected to fall about 14% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.6–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-14%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Florida is projected to fall about 14% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.6–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.31.53.1
20272.31.53.1
20282.31.63.1
20292.41.63.2
20302.41.63.2

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Citrus1620252010
Dowling Park1320251987
Pinetta1320251987
Croom1320251987
Miller Xrds1020191989
Hildreth 2920242016
Seminole Hills 2920222012
Island Grove820251992
Romeo720251966
Ft Mccoy720251988
Nobleton720251987
Ocala720251989
New Hope720112009
Micanopy619911966
Green Swamp620251987
Goethe620252010
Blountstown520241966
Miccosukee520251966
Mt. Olive520252002
Covington420211966
San Antonio420251973
Laurel Hill420252015
Chassahowitz420251996
Aripeka420231987
Oak Grove320111975

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.