BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Texas has surged: up 302% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+302%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Texas: up 302% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Texas is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.28–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.49Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.28–0.7195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Texas is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.28–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.470.250.68
20260.470.260.69
20270.480.260.70
20280.490.270.70
20290.490.280.71

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Alexander St1320241995
Lance Rosier Bith920192014
Rockspring820241996
Diboll720241968
Weches620242000
Dripping Spg520241985
Bon Wier520241996
Big Sandy Bith420242016
Cayuga420242013
Boerne420241971
Livingston420241971
New Waverly420241969
Caledonia420241969
Massey Lake420242012
Crossroads420241977
Decatur420172017
Thornton 2320101997
Town Bluff320241968
Athens320242002
Easton 2320242016
Easton320131994
Mt. Selman320241998
Oak Grove 2220242007
Neches Bith220172016
Utopia220241974

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.