BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in New York has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-throated Vireo in New York. See the full index history below.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in New York is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.21–0.87). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.54Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.21–0.8795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in New York is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.21–0.87). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.540.210.87
20270.540.210.87
20280.540.210.87
20290.540.210.87
20300.540.210.87

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Philadelphia920251980
Naples620251966
W Shokan520191968
Oxford519761969
Rhinebeck420251966
Mt Hope420101968
Catskills420151975
Corbettsvile420251966
Pulaski420251975
Balmat419891982
Lisle320041973
E Youngstown320241981
N Victory 2320041978
Alder Creek320041977
Ogdensburg320251987
Manorville219801980
Somers219771970
Highland220121968
Westbrookvle220191967
Austerlitz220251966
Ballston Lk219701967
Medusa220241979
Duanesburg220251966
Coventryvile220231967
E Newark220251974

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.