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Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
83Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia. See the full index history below.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.1–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–3.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.1–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.21.03.4
20262.21.03.4
20272.31.13.5
20282.31.13.5
20292.31.13.5

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Branchville1420241966
Truhart1220241997
Brandon1120241992
Waverly1019871967
Brodnax920241973
Rural Retrt920241983
Walkers920231992
Appomattox820241998
Church Road720241966
Clinchport719781967
Wylliesburg720191971
Finchley720212006
Natural Brid620241975
Amherst620241971
Big Island620241968
Irisburg620241976
Carters Brdg 2620242015
Front Royal620241994
Port Royal520191977
Concord520241967
Mannboro520241967
Saltville520241969
Newsoms520241967
Shenandoa Np520231993
Pw Forest Pk520091992

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.