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Species · Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia has held roughly steady: up 6% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+6%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
84Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia. See the full index history below.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 3.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 3.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.31.13.5
20272.31.13.6
20282.31.13.6
20292.41.13.6
20302.41.13.6

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Brandon1920251992
Brodnax1620251973
Branchville1420241966
Truhart1220241997
Waverly1019871967
Lake Anna1020252021
Surry920251978
Walkers920231992
Natural Brid820251975
Appomattox820241998
Clinchport719781967
Wylliesburg720191971
Finchley720212006
Big Island620251968
Hall620251972
Ringgold620251983
Moran620251997
Concord520241967
Mannboro520251967
Newsoms520241967
Nat Tunnel520251983
Gloucester520251992
Pw Forest Pk520091992
Edinburg420241968
Amherst420251971

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.