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Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Ohio has surged: up 156% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+156%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
85Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Ohio: up 156% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Ohio is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 1.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.6–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Ohio is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 1.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.6–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.31.53.0
20272.31.53.0
20282.31.63.0
20292.31.63.1
20302.41.63.1

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Coal Run1719921966
Wilgus1120091992
Shawnee S.F. 21020192001
Garrettsvile819911979
Keene820231992
Rome720251966
Wayne N.F.720251992
Cumberland520171966
Tar Hollow520241992
Mohican S.F.520251992
Lucerne420251992
Fulton420251966
Dresden420251971
New Marshfld420251966
Omega420241967
Harveysburg319901966
Pomeroy320221966
Marion 2320252025
Stonecreek320251996
Birmingham320241988
Coshocton319901990
Scioto Trail320131992
Tick Ridge320191993
Bloomville220251993
Pittsfield220231993

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.