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Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri has surged: up 245% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+245%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
79Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Missouri: up 245% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 1.4–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.4–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 1.4–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.71.22.1
20261.71.32.2
20271.81.32.2
20281.81.32.2
20291.81.42.3

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hilda720241995
Bland620231995
Osage Beach620241997
Clementine 2620072005
Pineville520241983
Centertown520241980
Lincoln520242013
Moselle520232000
Cascade420241981
Trenton420241969
Bennett420241995
Whitewater420241996
Kahoka2420242005
Filley320241979
Syracuse320241969
Williamsvill320241994
Laclede320241998
Kearney320242000
Watson320231992
Eugene320242014
Milford320242015
Doe Run320242015
Mincy320242018
Peace Valley220241994
Akers220231967

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.