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Species · Missouri · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri has surged: up 243% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+243%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
79Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-throated Vireo Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Missouri: up 243% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.9 (95% range 1.4–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.4–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.9 (95% range 1.4–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.71.32.2
20271.81.32.2
20281.81.32.3
20291.81.42.3
20301.91.42.3

Yellow-throated Vireo Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bennett1620251995
Cascade920251981
Clementine 2620072005
Frankford620251989
Centertown520251980
Rockingham520251975
Eugene520252014
Mincy520252018
Rueter 2520252023
Moselle520252000
Pineville420251983
Osage Beach420251997
Kahoka2420242005
Lincoln420252013
Gerald420252013
House Springs420252017
Peace Valley320251994
Akers320251967
Wesco320251981
Hayden320251982
Syracuse320241969
Williamsvill320251994
Hilda320251995
Barks320251994
Watson320231992

Yellow-throated Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.