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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Oklahoma has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+74%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in Oklahoma: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 11–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+79%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±38.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 11–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251410.019
2026141019
2027151019
2028151019
2029151119

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Wichita Mtns11019941994
Ft Sill West6019941994
Holdenville5120241967
Mill Creek4620181967
Heyburn3620241992
Blanco3420161967
Pushmataha3220231994
Wichita Mtns East3120222004
Ft Sill East2919941994
Skiatook2820191982
Noble2420241967
Choctaw2220231967
Baron2020231967
Mt. Herman2020221998
Pocola1920161992
Wichita Mts West1920222004
Peoria1820231967
Bethel1820241993
Tatums1820241992
Colcord1620221992
Mcalester1519911967
Ouachita Nf1520241991
Beggs1320231967
Sandbluff1319951992
Keetonville1320221992

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.