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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Texas has risen sharply: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+56%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in Texas: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Texas is projected to fall about 11% by 2030 — from 5.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 2.6–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.6–6.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Texas is projected to fall about 11% by 2030 — from 5.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 2.6–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.62.56.6
20274.62.56.6
20284.62.56.7
20294.62.66.7
20304.62.66.7

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Livingston5220251969
Morton4020251970
Weches3920251995
Diboll3620251968
Crossroads3520251967
Powell Park3520211995
Powell Park 23320252022
Easton 23220252014
Lydia3120251967
Dripping Spg3119851985
Fred3020251995
Alexander St3020251995
Smyrna3020101995
Mt. Selman2920251998
Oak Grove2819991967
Athens2820251968
Osage2720061968
Union Hill2720241994
Chandler2620041968
Smyrna 22420252011
Schroeder2319971969
New Waverly2320251969
Cayuga2120251996
Wills Point2120231994
Town Bluff2020251967

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.