BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Texas has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+46%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Tufted Titmouse in Texas. See the full index history below.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.6 (95% range 2.5–6.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.5–6.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±25.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.6 (95% range 2.5–6.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.52.46.6
20264.52.46.6
20274.52.56.6
20284.52.56.6
20294.62.56.6

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Livingston7120241969
New Waverly5420241969
Diboll3520241968
Caledonia3520241970
Powell Park3520211995
Dripping Spg3119851985
Fred3020241995
Smyrna3020101995
Oak Grove2819991967
Osage2720061968
Union Hill2720241994
Crossroads2620241967
Chandler2620041968
Arenosa Crk2420241969
Town Bluff2420241967
Morton2420241970
Schroeder2319971969
Weches2220241995
Liberty Hill2120231968
Bon Wier2120241996
Wills Point2120231994
Oakwood2019951967
Lydia1920231967
Greenville1820242001
Big Sandy Bith1820242015

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.