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Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Alabama

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Alabama has surged: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+114%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Alabama: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Alabama is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 17–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
17–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Alabama is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 17–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025201624
2026201724
2027201724
2028211724
2029211724

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Epes6820241980
Stevenson6820241996
Cottonton5620241966
Riverside5520131999
Liberty City 24720242017
Helicon4520241996
Choccolocco4420241984
Fairview4320241990
Triana4320121999
Sprott-Cahaba Riv4320141999
Sprague4220241966
Warrior Std4220241966
Elamville4120241984
Gainestown Ferry3920151999
Sunny Eve3820241966
Pine Grove3720241966
Calebee3620241993
Odenville3520241996
Greensport3420241966
Newton3320241967
Blocton3320241969
Talladega3220241996
Elkmont3120241990
Borden Springs 23120242001
Gastonburg3120241996

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

arkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.