BirdAnalyst
Species · Alabama · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Alabama

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Alabama has surged: up 136% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+136%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Alabama: up 136% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Alabama is projected to fall about 19% by 2030 — from 26 in 2025 to a central estimate of 22 (95% range 18–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
18–2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Alabama is projected to fall about 19% by 2030 — from 26 in 2025 to a central estimate of 22 (95% range 18–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026211725
2027211725
2028211725
2029211725
2030221825

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Epes6820241980
Stevenson6820241996
Helicon5520251996
Riverside5520131999
Nixburg 25320252000
Wallsboro4920251966
Triana4320121999
Sprott-Cahaba Riv4320141999
Liberty City 24220252017
Sprague4020251966
Jena4020251981
Mt Olive3920251966
Blocton3920251969
Fairview3920251990
Gainestown Ferry3920151999
Brantley3820251966
Warrior Std3620251966
Talladega3620251996
Carrollton3520251993
Greensport3320251966
Newton3320241967
Calebee3320251993
Choccolocco3320251984
Pine Grove3220251966
Cottonton3120251966

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

arkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.