BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Florida has surged: up 151% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+151%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
102Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Florida: up 151% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Florida is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 18 in 2025 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
12–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Florida is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 18 in 2025 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026141118
2027151118
2028151118
2029151218
2030151218

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Miccosukee6120251966
Citrus5820252010
Nobleton5120251987
Croom5020251987
Pinetta4820251987
Seminole Hills 24820222002
Dowling Park4720251987
Island Grove4420251992
Belmore4220241966
New Hope4220112009
Sanderson 24020242022
Micanopy3819911966
Mt. Olive3820252002
Hildreth 23720252010
Goethe3620252010
Cross City3520231988
San Antonio3420251967
Mossy Head3320111966
Romeo3020251966
Miller Xrds3020191987
Laurel Hill3020252010
Steinhatchee2820251966
Callahan2820241987
Chassahowitz2820251996
Ft Mccoy2720251987

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.