BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Kentucky has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-12%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Tufted Titmouse in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Kentucky is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 10–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–2195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Kentucky is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 10–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025151021
2026151021
2027161021
2028161021
2029161021

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cumberlnd Gp3920181966
Staffordsvil3019971996
Apex2720242005
Joy2620231966
Porter2520241966
Mammoth Cave2420141995
Paintsville2419951979
Mammoth Cave North2220132009
Bardwell2020031967
Kehoe 22020242005
Gatewood2020191966
Bardwell 21920242006
Hodgenville 21920232008
Johnsonville1720211966
Phelps1719971979
Monticello1620221968
Kehoe1619921966
Levee 21620192007
Million 21620242006
Sunnybrook1520221968
Glencoe1520221966
Carter1520241976
Pippa Passes1419971988
Drakesboro1420031966
Boxville1419831967

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.