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Species · Missouri · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Missouri has risen sharply: up 64% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+64%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
94Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in Missouri: up 64% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Missouri is projected to rise about 10% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 14–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±3.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Missouri is projected to rise about 10% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 14–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026181324
2027191424
2028191424
2029191424
2030191424

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gildehouse5119891978
Frankford4320251985
House Springs3920252017
Moselle3820252000
Kingsville3620251992
Centertown3520251973
Crane3420251994
Rockingham3120251969
Osage Beach3120251997
Bennett3020251994
Pineville2920251974
Clementine 22920072005
Richland2920252014
Ohio2820251972
Graydon2720251967
Hayden2720251975
Danville2720251967
Whitewater2720251996
Marshfield2720231994
Lincoln2720252013
Miller2720252014
Akers2620251967
Clementine2620021974
Cassville2420251967
Emden2420242017

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.