BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Missouri has risen sharply: up 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+66%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
94Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in Missouri: up 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 19 (95% range 14–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±6.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 19 (95% range 14–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025181324
2026191324
2027191424
2028191424
2029191424

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Palace8620242013
Rueter 26220242023
Whitewater5220241996
Gildehouse5119891978
Moselle3920242000
Osage Beach3720241997
Frankford3620241985
Ohio3520241972
Pineville3320241974
Bland3020241995
Clementine 22920072005
House Springs2820242017
Cascade2720241967
Marshfield2720231994
Richland2720212014
Clementine2620021974
Rockingham2520241969
Doe Run2520242015
Mincy2520242013
Woodlandville2420242013
Emden2420242017
West Plains2420242014
Syracuse2320241969
Kingsville2320241992
Bennett2220241994

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.