BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in New York has surged: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

25×Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
105Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in New York: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.0 (95% range 4.9–7.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.9–7.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.0 (95% range 4.9–7.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.64.56.8
20275.74.66.9
20285.84.77.0
20295.94.87.1
20306.04.97.2

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bedford3019961967
Purdy3020221980
Mt Hope2420101967
North Easton2320251969
Naples2120251966
W Shokan2020191968
Highland1920221968
Duanesburg1720251975
Catskills1620151967
Canadice L1620251987
Hamburg1620251994
Rhinebeck1520251968
S Horicon1420181983
Milford1420231995
Ghent1320251991
Ballston Lk1319951967
Corbettsvile1320251980
Dryden1320251980
Austerlitz1220251974
Penfield1220251973
S Berne 21220252014
Orange Lake1219921987
Laurens1120251998
Churchville1120251988
Cobleskill1020231986

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.