BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in New York has surged: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

24×Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
105Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Tufted Titmouse Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in New York: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.9 (95% range 4.7–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.7–7.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.9 (95% range 4.7–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.54.36.6
20265.64.46.7
20275.74.56.8
20285.84.66.9
20295.94.77.0

Tufted Titmouse Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bedford3019961967
Purdy3020221980
North Easton2920241969
Mt Hope2420101967
W Shokan2020191968
Highland1920221968
Duanesburg1920241975
Catskills1620151967
Corbettsvile1620241980
Austerlitz1520241974
S Horicon1420181983
Milford1420231995
Rhinebeck1320241968
Ballston Lk1319951967
Oneonta1220242001
Salem1220241976
Orange Lake1219921987
S Berne 21120242014
Cobleskill1020231986
Oriskany Fls1020242005
E Newark1020241974
Canadice L1020241987
Crescent1020241998
Westhampton920241973
Manorville920241973

Tufted Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.