Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Oklahoma

Prairie Warbler in Oklahoma has surged: up 276% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+276%Since 1969
17Routes In State
57Years

Notable Prairie Warbler Trends in Oklahoma

long arc increasecomputed index

Prairie Warbler has surged in Oklahoma: up 276% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Prairie Warbler Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.76–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.762.095% range
±31.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.661.9
20261.30.692.0
20271.40.712.0
20281.40.732.0
20291.40.762.0

Prairie Warbler Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Prairie Warbler in Oklahoma.
Pushmataha2720231994
Hee Mountain2020241999
Bethel1120241993
Mt. Herman720221998
Big Cedar420241967
Goodwater420191992
Ouachita Nf320231992
Blanco220161967
Holdenville219941977
Phillips119711969
Ardmore119701970
Baron120001967
Canadian119731973
Indianola119851985
Noble119781967
Peoria119971968
Pocola119981998

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.