Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Oklahoma
Prairie Warbler in Oklahoma has surged: up 276% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+276%Since 1969
17Routes In State
57Years
Notable Prairie Warbler Trends in Oklahoma
long arc increasecomputed index
Prairie Warbler has surged in Oklahoma: up 276% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Prairie Warbler Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.76–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+16%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.76–2.095% range
±31.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.3 | 0.66 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.69 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.71 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 0.73 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 0.76 | 2.0 |
Prairie Warbler Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Pushmataha | 27 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Hee Mountain | 20 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Bethel | 11 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Mt. Herman | 7 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Big Cedar | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Goodwater | 4 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Ouachita Nf | 3 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Blanco | 2 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Holdenville | 2 | 1994 | 1977 |
| Phillips | 1 | 1971 | 1969 |
| Ardmore | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Baron | 1 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Canadian | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Indianola | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Noble | 1 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Peoria | 1 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Pocola | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.