BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Prairie Warbler in Missouri has risen sharply: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+58%Since 1969
51Routes In State
57Years

Notable Prairie Warbler Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Prairie Warbler has risen sharply in Missouri: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Prairie Warbler Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.60 (95% range 0.19–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029
0.60Projected 2029 index
0.19–1.095% range
±57%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.600.191.0
20260.600.191.0
20270.600.191.0
20280.600.191.0
20290.600.191.0

Prairie Warbler Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Prairie Warbler in Missouri.
Graniteville720241982
Bennett620241994
Richland520192018
Williamsvill420241994
Moselle320242001
Cassville220191967
Cascade220241970
Clementine220021980
Woodlandville220232017
Hayden220211975
House Springs220232021
Viburnum220242015
Doe Run220242015
Trenton220172017
Mincy220242013
Hilda220241994
Centerville220241994
Bland220242004
Palace220192014
Frankford220081999
Pulaski120101976
Peace Valley120221977
Sweden120241971
Pineville120111980
Ironton119801972

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.