Species · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Rhode Island

Prairie Warbler in Rhode Island has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-62%Since 1968
6Routes In State
38Years

Notable Prairie Warbler Trends in Rhode Island

long arc declinecomputed index

Prairie Warbler has fallen sharply in Rhode Island: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Prairie Warbler Population Forecast in Rhode Island

If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Rhode Island is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.71 (95% range 0.00–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029
0.71Projected 2029 index
0.003.495% range
±72.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.880.003.6
20260.840.003.6
20270.800.003.5
20280.760.003.5
20290.710.003.4

Prairie Warbler Survey Routes in Rhode Island

Routes recording Prairie Warbler in Rhode Island.
Quonset Pt320171966
Shannock220241973
Pulaski219911991
Sachuest Pt119851966
Wallum Lake120221973
Casimir Pulaski Sf120182016

Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.