Species · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Rhode Island
Prairie Warbler in Rhode Island has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-62%Since 1968
6Routes In State
38Years
Notable Prairie Warbler Trends in Rhode Island
long arc declinecomputed index
Prairie Warbler has fallen sharply in Rhode Island: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Prairie Warbler Population Forecast in Rhode Island
If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Rhode Island is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.71 (95% range 0.00–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+7%Change by 2029
0.71Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.495% range
±72.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2028 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2029 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
Prairie Warbler Survey Routes in Rhode Island
| Quonset Pt | 3 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Shannock | 2 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Pulaski | 2 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Sachuest Pt | 1 | 1985 | 1966 |
| Wallum Lake | 1 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Casimir Pulaski Sf | 1 | 2018 | 2016 |
Prairie Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.