BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck Population Trend in Georgia

All statesWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Georgia has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
93Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wood Duck Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Duck in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Wood Duck Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Georgia is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.47Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Georgia is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.490.001.1
20260.480.001.1
20270.480.001.1
20280.470.001.1
20290.470.001.1

Wood Duck Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Wood Duck in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cartersville1320172002
Bethany820212012
Pitts620241977
Workmore620051980
Fowlstown520131969
Wrightsville519931979
Boston520241976
Curry Hill520092006
Amos Mill520212012
Crest419951973
Baxter419901985
Rutledge420191980
Deepstep420111983
Barges420192014
Hollonville319781978
Grovetown319981989
Lacross319951973
Douglas319811980
Woodbine320222012
Glenmore320242024
Dickey320182015
Okefenokee219831983
Baxley220141984
Everett City220171976
Cuthbert219971968

Wood Duck Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.