Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Oklahoma
Scarlet Tanager in Oklahoma has surged: up 214% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+214%Since 1969
14Routes In State
56Years
Notable Scarlet Tanager Trends in Oklahoma
long arc increasecomputed index
Scarlet Tanager has surged in Oklahoma: up 214% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Scarlet Tanager Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 67% by 2029 — from 0.66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.61–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+67%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.61–1.695% range
±81.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.55 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.58 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.60 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.61 | 1.6 |
Scarlet Tanager Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Ouachita Nf | 10 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Blanco | 6 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Hee Mountain | 6 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Pushmataha | 2 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Bethel | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Big Cedar | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Phillips | 1 | 1998 | 1970 |
| Heyburn | 1 | 1998 | 1994 |
| Mt. Herman | 1 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Baron | 1 | 1984 | 1973 |
| Peoria | 1 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Welch | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Douglas | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Colcord | 1 | 2015 | 2006 |
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.