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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesGeneralists

Scarlet Tanager in Minnesota has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-15%Since 1969
76Routes In State
57Years

Notable Scarlet Tanager Trends in Minnesota

No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Scarlet Tanager Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.70 (95% range 0.32–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.32–1.195% range
±18.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.700.321.1
20260.700.321.1
20270.700.321.1
20280.700.321.1
20290.700.321.1

Scarlet Tanager Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Scarlet Tanager in Minnesota.
Cass Lake420161980
Bemidji419801979
Debs420241969
Ashby420211997
Chatfield 2420242006
Sherburne Nr320241990
Evergreen320241967
Hovland320041978
Bena319771977
Brook Park320241998
Tamarac Nwr220241991
Millville220191970
Minnetonka220141969
Whitewater220001995
Nebish220231982
Knapp220241967
Wigwam Bay220231968
Sherry Lake219881970
Wylie219801980
Caledonia220121993
Frontenac220232008
Blackduck220222004
Glendale220241993
Whitewater 2220112011
Money Creek120181972

Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.