BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGeneralists

Scarlet Tanager in Missouri has surged: up 585% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+585%Since 1970
74Routes In State
56Years

Notable Scarlet Tanager Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Scarlet Tanager has surged in Missouri: up 585% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Scarlet Tanager Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Missouri is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.91–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.91–2.395% range
±52.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.812.2
20261.50.832.2
20271.50.862.2
20281.60.882.2
20291.60.912.3

Scarlet Tanager Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Scarlet Tanager in Missouri.
Centerville1720241994
Bennett1120241996
Williamsvill720241994
Akers620241970
Clementine619961992
Cascade520241973
Ironton519801974
Hayden520241978
Graniteville520241982
Syracuse420241969
Huntsville320241979
Barks320241994
New Point320072007
Pulaski220231982
Wesco220241978
Filley219821976
Centertown220221991
Kahoka219861980
Sticklervill220161976
Tarkio219791978
Hilda220241995
Marshfield220222012
Bland220191995
Richland220212014
Viburnum220242014

Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.