Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Ohio
Scarlet Tanager in Ohio has surged: up 254% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+254%Since 1968
82Routes In State
58Years
Notable Scarlet Tanager Trends in Ohio
long arc increasecomputed index
Scarlet Tanager has surged in Ohio: up 254% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Scarlet Tanager Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Ohio is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 4.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.8 (95% range 3.6–8.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
5.8Projected 2029 index
3.6–8.095% range
±47%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 7.7 |
| 2026 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 7.8 |
| 2027 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 7.8 |
| 2028 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 7.9 |
| 2029 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 8.0 |
Scarlet Tanager Survey Routes in Ohio
| Tar Hollow | 32 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Dresden | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Scioto Trail | 18 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Shawnee S.F. 2 | 18 | 2019 | 2001 |
| Wayne N.F. | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Stonecreek | 14 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Mohican S.F. | 13 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Coal Run | 10 | 1992 | 1966 |
| Rome | 10 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Birmingham | 10 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Shawnee S.F. | 10 | 2000 | 1992 |
| Newcomerstwn | 8 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Omega | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Coshocton | 8 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Tick Ridge | 8 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Smithfield | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Pike S.F. | 7 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Lucerne | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bolins Mills | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Keene | 6 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Zaleski S.F. | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Garrettsvile | 4 | 1991 | 1973 |
| Harveysburg | 4 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Hiram | 4 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Peru | 3 | 1975 | 1971 |
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.