Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Maryland
Scarlet Tanager in Maryland has increased: up 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+41%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Scarlet Tanager Trends in Maryland
No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Maryland. See the full index history below.
Scarlet Tanager Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Maryland is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 6.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 5.5–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
7.0Projected 2029 index
5.5–8.695% range
±11.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 8.4 |
| 2026 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 8.4 |
| 2027 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 8.5 |
| 2028 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 8.5 |
| 2029 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 8.6 |
Scarlet Tanager Survey Routes in Maryland
| Oldtown | 36 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Green Ridge | 32 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Piney Grove | 30 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Finzel | 15 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Smithsburg | 14 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Potomac Park | 12 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Olney | 12 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Jennings | 12 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Mt Nebo | 11 | 1991 | 1969 |
| Eklo | 11 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Madonna | 11 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Sinepuxent | 10 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Vindex | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Davidsnville | 9 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Pomfret | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Accident | 8 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Earlton | 8 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Island Creek | 8 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Cheltenham | 7 | 2004 | 1966 |
| Forest Grove | 7 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Floyd | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Wolfsville | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Steyer | 6 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Nottingham | 6 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Broomes Isl | 5 | 1996 | 1966 |
Scarlet Tanager Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.