Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in Texas
Chipping Sparrow in Texas has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-33%Since 1969
80Routes In State
57Years
Notable Chipping Sparrow Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Chipping Sparrow in Texas. See the full index history below.
Chipping Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Texas is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.62 (95% range 0.24–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+36%Change by 2029
0.62Projected 2029 index
0.24–1.095% range
±61.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.63 | 0.25 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 0.63 | 0.24 | 1.0 |
| 2027 | 0.63 | 0.24 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.62 | 0.24 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.62 | 0.24 | 1.0 |
Chipping Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas
| Utopia | 21 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Allen Creek | 15 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Pidcoke | 9 | 1996 | 1971 |
| Rockspring | 9 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Indian Mtn | 8 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Cottonwood | 7 | 1986 | 1967 |
| Caledonia | 6 | 2021 | 1969 |
| Easton | 6 | 2004 | 1994 |
| Boerne | 5 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Massey Lake | 5 | 2005 | 1997 |
| Oakwood | 5 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Toyahvale | 5 | 2012 | 2001 |
| Lockhart | 4 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Crossroads | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Weinert | 4 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Mertzon | 4 | 2010 | 2007 |
| Laredo | 4 | 2012 | 2009 |
| Montell | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Salt Flat | 4 | 2013 | 2010 |
| Silver | 4 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Valley Spgs | 3 | 2015 | 1971 |
| San Saba | 3 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Morton | 3 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Hearne | 3 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Leakey | 3 | 2024 | 1994 |
Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.