Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in North Dakota
Chipping Sparrow in North Dakota has surged: up 616% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+616%Since 1969
50Routes In State
57Years
Notable Chipping Sparrow Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Chipping Sparrow has surged in North Dakota: up 616% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Chipping Sparrow Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in North Dakota is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 4.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 4.3–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.9%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+27%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
4.3–6.595% range
±40.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 6.1 |
| 2026 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 6.2 |
| 2027 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 6.3 |
| 2028 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 6.4 |
| 2029 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 6.5 |
Chipping Sparrow Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Turtle Mtns | 25 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Abercrombie | 19 | 2012 | 1967 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 12 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Denbigh | 10 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Douglas Crk | 10 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Cooperstown | 9 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Carpio | 9 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Loraine | 8 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Edgeley | 7 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Kempton | 6 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Webster | 6 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Tobacco | 6 | 2013 | 1969 |
| Emerado | 5 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Walcott | 4 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Buchanan | 4 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Nash | 4 | 2017 | 1980 |
| Gorham | 4 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Braddock | 4 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Lakota 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Forman | 3 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Regan | 3 | 2022 | 1997 |
| Roosevelt Pk | 3 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Solen | 3 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Wimbledon | 2 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Horsehead Lk | 2 | 2021 | 1995 |
Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.