BirdAnalyst
Species · Maine · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in Maine

All statesForest birds

Chipping Sparrow in Maine has surged: up 112% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+112%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Chipping Sparrow Trends in MaineNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Chipping Sparrow has surged in Maine: up 112% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Chipping Sparrow Population Forecast in Maine

If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Maine is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 11–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Maine is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 11–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026151119
2027151119
2028151119
2029151119
2030151119

Chipping Sparrow Survey Routes in Maine

Routes recording Chipping Sparrow in Maine.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bowdoin Ctr4820211971
Biddeford4520191973
Kittery Pt4020251966
Westbrook3220241977
Manchester3219951971
Hermon3120211966
Northfield3119811976
Cape Neddick2720241972
East Troy2720211972
Turner 22720252011
Greenwood2620251966
Charleston2420211975
Cornville2420252012
Brooks2320211977
Turner2020101972
Washburn1920051979
Reeds1820251990
Otisfield Gr1820151966
Ft Fairfield1720051993
Brownfield1720092009
St David1620051982
Topsfield1619961978
Hudson1520161973
Ashland1420081980
Boundary1420161993

Chipping Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.