Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Illinois
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Illinois has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
18×Since 1968
97Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Illinois
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Illinois: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Illinois is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 2.2–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+7%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
2.2–3.695% range
±16%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| 2028 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 3.6 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Illinois
| Bremen | 25 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Royalton | 20 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Beaverdam Lk | 19 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Belleview | 16 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cave In Rock | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Pulaski | 15 | 2024 | 1971 |
| York | 15 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Robinson | 12 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Wayne | 11 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Mt Vernon | 9 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Belknap | 9 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Delwood | 9 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Columbia | 8 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Birds | 7 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Sandusky | 7 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Grape Creek | 7 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Martinsville | 6 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Beaucoup | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Marshall | 5 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Terre Haute | 4 | 2024 | 1980 |
| St Morgan | 4 | 2022 | 1969 |
| New Lenox | 3 | 2017 | 2013 |
| Dailey | 3 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Eldred | 3 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Brownville | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.