Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in New York
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in New York has surged: up 113% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+113%Since 1968
61Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in New York: up 112% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.16 (95% range 0.03–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±198.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.2995% range
±198.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.28 |
| 2026 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.28 |
| 2027 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
| 2028 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
| 2029 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in New York
| Cattaraugus | 8 | 1997 | 1997 |
| W Shokan | 5 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Harris Hill | 5 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Churchville | 4 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Clinton | 4 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Rifton | 3 | 1984 | 1977 |
| Phillips Cr | 3 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Orange Lake | 3 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Westhampton | 2 | 2004 | 1992 |
| Catskills | 2 | 2015 | 1967 |
| Oriskany Fls | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Cayuga | 2 | 2023 | 2018 |
| E Youngstown | 2 | 2016 | 2015 |
| Byron | 2 | 1989 | 1988 |
| Cicero Ctr | 2 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Purdy | 2 | 2018 | 1990 |
| Warwick 2 | 2 | 1998 | 1976 |
| North Easton | 2 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Bedford | 1 | 1988 | 1978 |
| Somers | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Rhinebeck | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Highland | 1 | 2006 | 1982 |
| Warwick | 1 | 1974 | 1969 |
| Middletown | 1 | 2009 | 1991 |
| Westbrookvle | 1 | 2019 | 1968 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.