Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Maryland
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Maryland has surged: up 660% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+660%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Maryland
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Maryland: up 660% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Maryland is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.8 (95% range 6.3–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
8.8Projected 2029 index
6.3–1195% range
±26.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 11 |
| 2026 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 11 |
| 2027 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 11 |
| 2028 | 8.6 | 6.2 | 11 |
| 2029 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 11 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Maryland
| Cokesbury | 44 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Furnace Town | 40 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Pomonkey | 39 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Island Creek | 28 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Forest Grove | 27 | 2023 | 2011 |
| La Plata | 26 | 2009 | 1966 |
| Oldtown | 21 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Olney | 19 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Earlton | 17 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Pomfret | 16 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Berlin | 16 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Ijamsville | 16 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Williamsport | 15 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Nottingham | 14 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Emmitsburg | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Newark | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Madonna | 13 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Tall Timbers | 12 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Wheaton | 12 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Pr Frederick | 12 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Davidsnville | 11 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Smithsburg | 10 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Pt Republic | 10 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Honga | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Green Ridge | 9 | 2024 | 1995 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.