Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Maryland

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Maryland has surged: up 660% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+660%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years

Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Maryland

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Maryland: up 660% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Maryland

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Maryland is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.8 (95% range 6.3–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2029
8.8Projected 2029 index
6.31195% range
±26.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.25.711
20268.35.911
20278.56.011
20288.66.211
20298.86.311

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Maryland

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Maryland.
Cokesbury4420241966
Furnace Town4020242015
Pomonkey3920241966
Island Creek2820241991
Forest Grove2720232011
La Plata2620091966
Oldtown2120241970
Olney1920241966
Earlton1720242014
Pomfret1620241966
Berlin1620241980
Ijamsville1620241986
Williamsport1520241973
Nottingham1420242005
Emmitsburg1320241967
Newark1320241966
Madonna1320222009
Tall Timbers1220141966
Wheaton1220241990
Pr Frederick1220241991
Davidsnville1120241982
Smithsburg1020141966
Pt Republic1019891966
Honga920241966
Green Ridge920241995

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.