BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Florida has surged: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+201%Since 1968
104Routes In State
58Years

Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Florida

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Florida: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.5 (95% range 5.0–8.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
5.0–8.095% range
±10.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.24.77.7
20266.34.77.8
20276.34.87.8
20286.44.97.9
20296.55.08.0

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Florida.
Island Grove2320241992
Lovedale2020111990
Miller Xrds1920191987
Kissimmee1920241987
Pinecrest1820241966
Ocala1620241987
Chassahowitz1620241997
Laurel Hill1520242010
Hildreth 21520242010
Belmore1420241966
Blackwater1420241987
Citrus Park1420241989
Seminole Hls1320001967
St Augustine1320241967
Betts1320241987
Doctors Inlet 21320182008
Citrus1320242010
Goethe1220242010
Nobleton1120241987
Oak Grove 21120242024
Alligator Pt1020241987
Seminole Hills 21020222002
St Vincent I1020241995
Bloxham920221987
Croom920241987

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.