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Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Arkansas has surged: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+79%Since 1969
61Routes In State
57Years

Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Arkansas: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Arkansas is projected to rise about 105% by 2029 — from 5.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.5–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±89.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+105%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.5–1595% range
±89.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025106.014
2026106.114
2027106.215
2028116.415
2029116.515

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Arkansas.
Old Milo2520141967
Zion2420241967
Ravenden Springs1720152010
Four Lakes1720011994
Nance1720241992
Magazine Mtn1620211993
Compton1520221967
Marshall1520212011
Hughes1320231967
Lockesburg1320192010
Blakely1219991968
Augusta1220011967
Havana1220212010
Ramsey1119971967
Ashdown1120231967
Poyen1120071967
Stark1120241967
Coal Hill1020231977
Sims1020242010
Princeton 21020222022
Boston Mtn.920241994
Dry Fork 2920242024
Eudora720161967
Crows719911967
Hollywood720241967

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.