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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Texas has surged: up 222% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+222%Since 1969
165Routes In State
57Years

Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Texas: up 221% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Texas is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.7–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.7–2.995% range
±16.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.11.52.7
20262.21.62.8
20272.21.62.8
20282.21.62.8
20292.31.72.9

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Texas.
Rockspring3720241994
Valley Spgs1920241970
San Saba1920241978
Harper1820241969
Pidcoke 21820242018
Decatur1820241995
Leakey1620241994
Morton1220241972
Crossroads1220241978
Allen Creek1220242002
Livingston1120241971
Gause1119971970
Weches1120241995
Bon Wier1120241996
Adamsville1020241985
Rhome1020242008
Comstock1020171975
Prairie Mtn.1020241994
Caledonia920241971
Montell920241995
Catarina820071977
Kempner720191984
Selden720241989
Cayuga720242006
Fred720241995

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.