Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Louisiana
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Louisiana has surged: up 328% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+328%Since 1969
83Routes In State
57Years
Notable Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Trends in Louisiana
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Louisiana: up 328% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Forecast in Louisiana
If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Louisiana is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.9 (95% range 2.9–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-12%Change by 2029
4.9Projected 2029 index
2.9–6.995% range
±30.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 6.7 |
| 2026 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 6.8 |
| 2027 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 6.8 |
| 2028 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 6.9 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Survey Routes in Louisiana
| Carterville | 27 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Mount Union | 22 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Womack | 21 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Ivan | 21 | 2013 | 1998 |
| Linville | 18 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Clay | 17 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Ivan 2 | 16 | 2016 | 2014 |
| Goodwill | 16 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Marion | 14 | 1996 | 1988 |
| Cheniere | 12 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Atchafalaya | 12 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Fillmore | 11 | 1989 | 1968 |
| Evelyn | 11 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Freetown | 10 | 2009 | 1984 |
| Flat Creek | 10 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Burr Ferry | 10 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Natchez | 9 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Hargis 2 | 9 | 2014 | 2013 |
| Many | 8 | 1992 | 1991 |
| Norwood | 8 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Longstreet | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ramah | 7 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Fort Jessup | 7 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Hargis | 7 | 2011 | 2006 |
| Lake Cove | 7 | 2017 | 2008 |
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.