Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Massachusetts
Baltimore Oriole in Massachusetts has fallen sharply: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-60%Since 1968
32Routes In State
58Years
Notable Baltimore Oriole Trends in Massachusetts
long arc declinecomputed index
Baltimore Oriole has fallen sharply in Massachusetts: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Baltimore Oriole Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 0.58–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-33%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
0.58–6.995% range
±21.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 7.5 |
| 2026 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 4.1 | 0.88 | 7.2 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 0.73 | 7.1 |
| 2029 | 3.8 | 0.58 | 6.9 |
Baltimore Oriole Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| Wellfleet 2 | 22 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Princeton | 12 | 1976 | 1969 |
| Warren 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2010 |
| E Dennis | 11 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Brockton | 11 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Belchertown | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Cheshire | 11 | 1994 | 1969 |
| Wellfleet | 9 | 2007 | 1966 |
| E Pepperell | 9 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Marion | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Monterey | 8 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Prattville | 6 | 2019 | 1966 |
| N Oxford | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Pittsfield | 6 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Ware River | 4 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Cape Cod Ns | 4 | 2007 | 1989 |
| N. Andover | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Warren | 3 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Sheffield | 3 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Gay Head | 3 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Hancock | 3 | 2015 | 1998 |
| Chilmark | 2 | 1983 | 1969 |
| Newburyport | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Maynard | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Littleton | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.