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Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Baltimore Oriole in Alabama has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-65%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Baltimore Oriole Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Baltimore Oriole in Alabama. See the full index history below.

Baltimore Oriole Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2027 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±46.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20230.010.000.07
20240.010.000.06
20250.000.000.06
20260.000.000.06
20270.000.000.06

Baltimore Oriole Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Baltimore Oriole in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
South519721972
Valhermoso Spgs319981973
Latham319711971
Castleberry320041996
Mt Olive219661966
Riderwood219831968
Woodville219971997
St Florian119961969
Hillsboro119841984
Pine Grove119931993
Dawson119961996
Linden119841984
Billingsley119671967
Lanett119811981
Millry119991999
Guntersville120172000
Epes120031997
Wheeler Dam120092001
Vina119961996
Oneonta120222022
St. Elmo120062006
Brooksville119901990

Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Other States

arkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.