Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Kentucky
Baltimore Oriole in Kentucky has surged: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+101%Since 1968
57Routes In State
58Years
Notable Baltimore Oriole Trends in Kentucky
long arc increasecomputed index
Baltimore Oriole has surged in Kentucky: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Baltimore Oriole Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in Kentucky is projected to rise about 124% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.1–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+124%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.495% range
±87.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.2 | 1.00 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 |
| 2027 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 |
| 2028 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.4 |
Baltimore Oriole Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Bardwell | 6 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Hudson | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Plum | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Mcbrayer | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Merrimac | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Boxville | 3 | 1983 | 1971 |
| Joy | 3 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Shelbyville | 3 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Goshen | 3 | 1999 | 1966 |
| Glencoe | 3 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Buena Vista | 3 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Sewell Shop | 3 | 2023 | 1970 |
| East Union | 3 | 2022 | 1972 |
| Keysburg | 2 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Cedar Grove | 2 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Iron Bridge | 2 | 1986 | 1966 |
| Mckee | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Kings Mtn | 2 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Johnsonville | 2 | 2021 | 1971 |
| Eastview | 2 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Dixie | 2 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Porter | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Kehoe | 2 | 1992 | 1974 |
| Bays Fork | 2 | 2018 | 2001 |
| Campton | 2 | 2012 | 2012 |
Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.