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Species · West Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesForest birds

Baltimore Oriole in West Virginia has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-46%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Baltimore Oriole Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Baltimore Oriole in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Baltimore Oriole Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in West Virginia is projected to rise about 54% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.0–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+54%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.0–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±54.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in West Virginia is projected to rise about 54% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.0–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.51.13.8
20272.51.13.8
20282.41.13.8
20292.41.13.8
20302.41.03.8

Baltimore Oriole Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Baltimore Oriole in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sugar Grove820251966
Mt Storm819751969
Shanghai820251995
Mo Of Seneca720251969
Rio719951974
Martinsburg720251966
Ringgold720252025
Pt Pleasant620251973
Washburn520221975
Sleepy Creek519891966
Dailey420251973
Albright419741966
Clinton420241966
Henderson420182002
Arlee319791968
Spencer320241986
Fayetteville319961980
Denmar320251989
Berryburg319961975
Meadowville320231972
Stollings220192002
Ghent220241978
Hanover220211984
Meadland220251997
Olcott220241966

Baltimore Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.