Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Catbird Population Trend in Virginia
Gray Catbird in Virginia has declined: down 28% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-28%Since 1968
85Routes In State
58Years
Notable Gray Catbird Trends in Virginia
No notable trend signals for Gray Catbird in Virginia. See the full index history below.
Gray Catbird Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Virginia is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 1.4–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
1.4–5.295% range
±17.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 5.3 |
| 2028 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 5.3 |
| 2029 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 5.2 |
Gray Catbird Survey Routes in Virginia
| Taylorstown | 46 | 2010 | 1967 |
| Dismal Swamp | 43 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Fincastle | 23 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Marion | 23 | 1982 | 1976 |
| Jerome | 17 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Shenandoa Np | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Big Meadows | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Tryme | 14 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Taylorstown 2 | 13 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Star Tannery | 12 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Stanley | 12 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Blacksburg | 12 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Iron Mountain 2 | 12 | 2013 | 2012 |
| Great Falls | 11 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Isom | 11 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Rural Retrt | 11 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Churchville | 10 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Partlow | 10 | 2015 | 1977 |
| Iron Mountain 3 | 10 | 2023 | 2014 |
| Newbern | 9 | 1982 | 1968 |
| Clinchport | 9 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Cornland | 9 | 2014 | 1975 |
| Edinburg | 8 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Hebron 2 | 8 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Front Royal | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
Gray Catbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.